With our friends at Citizens Bank Park frantically waving white towels, the Atlanta Braves surrendered a 3-1 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies, reducing the Braves’ tenuous Wild Card lead over the New York Mets to a paltry 11½ games — 11 in the loss column. The Mets have 12 games remaining, Atlanta 11.
For the Mets to storm from behind and win the National League Wild Card, the following needs to occur:
• The Mets (74-76) must go 12-0.
• The Braves (86-75) must go 0-11.
• The Marlins (74-75) must go 3-0 against the Braves, 0-2 against the Mets; their other games are immaterial.
• The Reds (85-66) must go 3-0 against the Padres; their other games are immaterial.
• The Cardinals (77-72) must go at least 3-1 against the Rockies, no better than 5-4 against everybody else.
• The Rockies (82-67) must go 0-3 against the Giants, no better than 1-3 against the Cardinals, no better than 2-4 against everybody else.
• The Padres (83-66) must go 0-3 against the Giants, 0-3 against the Reds, no better than 2-5 against everybody else.
• The Giants (84-66) must go 3-0 against the Rockies, 3-0 against the Padres; their other games are immaterial.
Under this scenario, the Phillies, the Reds and the Giants will capture their respective division titles. The Mets and Braves will finish tied for the Wild Card at 86-76, necessitating a one-game playoff.
And the Mets will have to win that game to win the Wild Card at 87-76.
That’s all.
Mets final record is typo would be 89-76.
Awesome scenario. Hey, it could happen
Where do you get 165 games from?
[…] This post was mentioned on Twitter by You Gotta Believe!, Greg Prince. Greg Prince said: #Mets remain clinically alive for Wild Card berth, even picking up ground in their own way. http://wp.me/pKvXu-1My […]
Then, after sweeping the NLDS & NLCS behind Dickey’s twin no-hitters and Ike Davis’ 9 HR’s, the Mets finish the Yankees off in four straight with resurgent emergency spot-starter Oliver Perez throwing a complete game one-hitter in game four at Evil Empire Field, with David Wright’s two grand slams providing all the offense for the Amazins.
Yes. Exactly.
I thought Adam Rubin said we were already dead.
Dead for the division, not for the Wild Card. Never mind Adam Rubin — do the math, amigo.
Greg, an absolutely hilarious post, brought a real smile to me face!! Got more chance of….Jeter playing for the Mets LOL
Glad you got all that off your chest before it becomes irrelevant after tonight’s game…
please I am begging you, go back on your meds.
I give you credit for figuring this all out. Great work. In the spirit of Bobby V: “why not?”
I think er should have a contest next year for the game number when we are officially eliminated.
Proceeds to the Wilpons so they can buy a clue.
Great Post!!!…Last time I saw the Mets vs. Marlins in Florida, they got swept four games!
Can we for for once beat the Stinking Fish at the end of the season!
Where are the Pirate when you need them!
The “FAT LADY” has been been put on hold!….But she is warming up!
2011 Spring Training can’t come soon enough!